Biden is gaining in polls, but is still behind Trump
Former President Trump leads President Biden by one point among registered voters nationwide, 46% to 45%, in the widely covered New York Times/Siena College poll — a Biden gain from February, when Trump led by four.
Why it matters: Biden has been improving in polls since last month's State of the Union.
What they're saying: "You can't exactly call a one-point deficit the 'Biden comeback,'" writes Times chief political analyst Nate Cohn, "but the result adds to a growing list of polls finding him inching up over the last month."
- "16 national pollsters (of varying quality) have taken polls before and after the State of the Union. On average, Mr. Biden is running about 1.4 points better in the post-State of the Union polls than in earlier surveys by the same pollsters."
Between the lines: The main reason Biden ticked up in Times/Siena appears to be his improved standing among his 2020 voters — 89% now vs. 83% in February.
- The poll of 1,059 registered voters has an overall margin of error of ±3.3 percent.
Go deeper: Bloomberg/Morning Consult swing state poll hints at Biden comeback